Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.025245 0.030436 0.035884 0.041984 0.048581 0.055466 0.063159
2025-12-28 0.019350 0.026927 0.035410 0.045412 0.056711 0.068931 0.083011
2026-01-04 0.013133 0.021498 0.031526 0.043947 0.058518 0.074746 0.093890
2026-01-11 0.009856 0.018784 0.030150 0.044787 0.062442 0.082509 0.106563
2026-01-18 0.007253 0.016350 0.028666 0.045118 0.065459 0.088982 0.117550
2026-01-25 0.005271 0.014315 0.027362 0.045400 0.068199 0.094959 0.127815
2026-02-01 0.003605 0.012314 0.025807 0.045134 0.070090 0.099795 0.136636
2026-02-08 0.001909 0.009601 0.022854 0.042739 0.069106 0.101022 0.141072
2026-02-15 0.001042 0.008049 0.021382 0.042163 0.070286 0.104755 0.148381
2026-02-22 0.000576 0.007125 0.020757 0.042667 0.072788 0.110050 0.157509
2026-03-01 0.000277 0.006367 0.020293 0.043326 0.075439 0.115493 0.166786
2026-03-08 0.000130 0.005960 0.020376 0.044743 0.079068 0.122134 0.177496
2026-03-15 0.000015 0.005211 0.019816 0.045294 0.081708 0.127766 0.187288
2026-03-22 0.000010 0.005558 0.021405 0.049152 0.088874 0.139162 0.204190
2026-03-29 NaN 0.004280 0.019577 0.047676 0.088745 0.141328 0.209817
2026-04-05 NaN 0.003803 0.019302 0.048561 0.091809 0.147515 0.220348
2026-04-12 NaN 0.003244 0.018726 0.048909 0.094095 0.152687 0.229614
2026-04-19 NaN 0.002737 0.018152 0.049204 0.096272 0.157696 0.238664
2026-04-26 NaN 0.002177 0.017276 0.048926 0.097597 0.161578 0.246293
2026-05-03 NaN 0.001327 0.015193 0.046427 0.095648 0.161135 0.248476
2026-05-10 NaN 0.000926 0.014253 0.045825 0.096374 0.164139 0.254930
2026-05-17 NaN 0.000730 0.013960 0.046352 0.098729 0.169273 0.264046
2026-05-24 NaN 0.000580 0.013767 0.047039 0.101308 0.174695 0.273522